Actuarial Cyber Risk Quantification

Put a number on your clients' cyber risk.

Üsta works with the insurers, brokers, security firms and advisers who carry, place and manage cyber risk for other businesses. We supply an independent estimate of the loss, in money, with its basis stated, and the decisions it informs stay yours.

Loss Exceedance Curve · illustrative
50%25%5%1-in-100Annual loss →chance of exceeding

The annual loss a business has a given chance of exceeding. The same curve serves the underwriter, the broker and the board.

Built for the firms that carry, place and manage cyber risk

Insurers & reinsurers
UMAs
Insurance brokers
Cyber security firms & MSSPs
Compliance & advisory firms
Lenders & capital providers

Partners

One model, used from every side of the cyber decision.

An insurer pricing a risk, a broker placing it, a security firm selling the fix and an adviser reporting on it all need the same thing: what the exposure is worth. Üsta produces it once, independently, in a form each of them can use.

Why Partners Work With Üsta

A figure both sides of the deal can use.

01

A number no deal can shape

The model does not know who is buying, selling or placing what, and no result is adjusted to suit a deal. That is why an insurer, a broker and the client can all sit in front of the same figure and argue about the decision instead of the arithmetic.

02

Actuarial method, basis stated

Frequency and severity, combined into a loss distribution, the way every other insured risk is already measured. Every figure carries its range and what it rests on. Where the evidence is thin, the range widens and the page says why.

03

Runs without a mature security stack

Üsta starts from an independent external view of the organisation and a structured profile of its business and controls. Security artefacts narrow the estimate when they exist. They are not a precondition for producing one.

04

Built to work alongside you

Üsta's outputs are an input to your underwriting, your advice or your proposal, and the decision stays with you. A client you introduce works with both of us, on terms agreed once, in writing.

What The Model Produces

Cyber exposure in the units the rest of the risk register already uses.

Cyber sits on the risk register rated High. A premium, a limit or an appetite cannot be set in Highs.

Expected
Expected Annual Loss

Probability-weighted, in money. The baseline a budget, a limit or a proposal sits against.

tail
Tail Risk

What a severe year could cost, not just an average one (VaR and TVaR).

Value of Closing a Gap

What improving each control area is worth in reduced expected loss. The cost of the fix is yours to set.

Data breachFraudRansomware
Scenario Analysis

Data breach, ransomware, cyber fraud, outage and third-party failure, each modelled separately in money.

Illustrative output formats. Every figure is built from the assessed organisation’s own exposure and controls.

For Enterprises

Running cyber risk inside your own business?

The same model works directly for the organisations carrying the risk. Credit, market and operational risk are governed in money. Üsta puts cyber on the same footing, so budget, insurance cover, risk appetite and board reporting can run off one number.

Any evidence you already hold, from penetration tests to ISO 27001 and SOC 2 reports, feeds the model. None of it is required to start.

Request a Scoping Call

A Method You Can Question

Presented to actuaries and security practitioners.

Üsta's method is set out in public, in front of the audiences best placed to challenge it. Built in Cape Town, designed to travel to any market where cyber loss data is thinner than the decisions that depend on it.

53rd ASSA ConventionEnterprise Risk Management track, Cape Town, October 2026
ISC2 Cape Town ChapterCyber risk in the age of AI, August 2026
Africa Tech Festival 2026Chair, Cybersecurity stage, November 2026

Insight

What South Africa's new cyber standard means for your board.

Joint Standard 2 of 2024 places responsibility for cyber risk oversight with the governing body. What that obligation asks of a board, and of the advisers who support it.

Ready to start a conversation?

Partners: we will work out which part of your business this fits and set out the terms in writing. Enterprises: a 30-minute scoping call to assess fit.